Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.004025 0.004415 0.004834 0.005319 0.005866 0.006465 0.007174
2025-08-24 0.003349 0.003885 0.004503 0.005272 0.006212 0.007334 0.008786
2025-08-31 0.002905 0.003490 0.004196 0.005118 0.006308 0.007811 0.009887
2025-09-07 0.002641 0.003265 0.004044 0.005104 0.006533 0.008431 0.011205
2025-09-14 0.002502 0.003172 0.004036 0.005256 0.006971 0.009358 0.013040
2025-09-21 0.002299 0.002972 0.003864 0.005160 0.007045 0.009770 0.014172
2025-09-28 0.002127 0.002799 0.003708 0.005064 0.007098 0.010142 0.015273
2025-10-05 0.002008 0.002686 0.003624 0.005058 0.007274 0.010710 0.016751
2025-10-12 0.001933 0.002628 0.003610 0.005151 0.007604 0.011545 0.018789
2025-10-19 0.001823 0.002511 0.003501 0.005086 0.007674 0.011959 0.020139
2025-10-26 0.001736 0.002423 0.003428 0.005069 0.007816 0.012501 0.021799
2025-11-02 0.001644 0.002319 0.003322 0.004991 0.007845 0.012847 0.023125
2025-11-09 0.001579 0.002257 0.003282 0.005022 0.008076 0.013603 0.025453
2025-11-16 0.001501 0.002170 0.003197 0.004974 0.008166 0.014115 0.027380
2025-11-23 0.001410 0.002057 0.003064 0.004831 0.008069 0.014252 0.028503
2025-11-30 0.001353 0.001995 0.003008 0.004817 0.008207 0.014867 0.030834
2025-12-07 0.001331 0.001987 0.003039 0.004959 0.008653 0.016165 0.035066
2025-12-14 0.001268 0.001908 0.002947 0.004870 0.008639 0.016490 0.036931
2025-12-21 0.001209 0.001834 0.002858 0.004780 0.008615 0.016789 0.038790
2025-12-28 0.001168 0.001788 0.002816 0.004775 0.008762 0.017486 0.041894
2026-01-04 0.001146 0.001771 0.002823 0.004862 0.009106 0.018687 0.046738
2026-01-11 0.001101 0.001715 0.002756 0.004801 0.009132 0.019131 0.049434
2026-01-18 0.001066 0.001673 0.002714 0.004785 0.009251 0.019822 0.053085